July
2012 Monthly Coffee Report
Coffee
prices rebounded in July 2012, with the ICO composite indicator increasing by
9.5% compared to June, following nine consecutive months of price falls. The
strongest growth was seen in Arabicas, fuelled by concerns over the Brazilian
crop after unseasonably heavy rains at the beginning of the month.
Nevertheless, Arabica prices remain at relatively low levels compared to the
last 12 months. Robustas saw more modest growth, increasing by 1.3% to reach
their highest level since August 2011.
In terms of
market fundamentals, world production in 2011/12 is estimated at 131.4 million
bags,
falling
slightly from 134.4 million bags in 2010/11. World consumption, on the other
hand, is estimated to have increased to 137.9 million bags in calendar year
2011. The supply/demand balance therefore remains relatively tight.
World
exports in June 2012 reached 9.6 million bags, 5.1% higher than the same month
in 2011, bringing the total for the first three quarters of the coffee year
(October to June) to 81.2 million bags. This represents a slight decrease of
0.3% on the previous year. Total exports from October to June over the last ten
years have increased at an average annual rate of 2%, while consumption has
increased at a rate of 2.4%.
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Read the
full report at http://www.ico.org/documents/cmr-0712-e.pdf