Study alarms a "profoundly negative" impact of climate change on indigenous Arabica coffee in Ethiopia and world-wide
The Impact of Climate Change on Indigenous Arabica Coffee ( Coffea arabica ): Predicting Future Trends and Identifying Priorities Excerpts Source: PLOSONE (a peer reviewed open access journal) Published October 7, 2012 Abstract Precise modelling of the influence of climate change on Arabica coffee is limited; there are no data available for indigenous populations of this species. In this study we model the present and future predicted distribution of indigenous Arabica, and identify priorities in order to facilitate appropriate decision making for conservation, monitoring and future research. Using distribution data we perform bioclimatic modelling and examine future distribution with the HadCM3 climate model for three emission scenarios (A1B, A2A, B2A) over three time intervals (2020, 2050, 2080). The models show a profoundly negative influence on indigenous Arabica. ... Based on known occurrences and ecological tolerances of Arabica, bioclimatic unsuitability...